BGonline.org Forums

Rollout for money and as initial double

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Sunday, 19 December 2010, at 11:31 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout and some variants (mtuhtan)

For money it is no redouble:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 52 Money session pip: 52 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBCACC------------bcadda-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	70,13% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	29,87% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	70,11% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	29,89% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:	+0,403
Redouble:	+0,804
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:	+0,673
Redouble/Take:	+0,617 (-0,056)
Redouble/Drop:	+1,000 (+0,327)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1296 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble:	± 0,003 (+0,670...+0,676)
Confidence Redouble:	± 0,005 (+0,612...+0,621)
Double Decision confidence:	100,0%
Take Decision confidence:	100,0%
Duration: 13,4 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

But as initial double it is very close:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 52 Money session pip: 52 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBCACC------------bcadda-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	70,12% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	29,88% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	70,11% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	29,89% (G: 0,00% B: 0,00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0,402
Double:	+0,804
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0,625
Double/Take:	+0,622 (-0,003)
Double/Drop:	+1,000 (+0,375)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1296 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0,002 (+0,623...+0,627)
Confidence Double:	± 0,002 (+0,620...+0,624)
Double Decision confidence:	96,7%
Take Decision confidence:	100,0%
Duration: 43,0 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• Bear off recube at 3a-3a?
  mtuhtan -- Saturday, 18 December 2010, at 5:51 p.m.
  • Bear off recube at 3a-3a?
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 18 December 2010, at 6:48 p.m.
  • Bear off recube at 3a-3a?
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 18 December 2010, at 7:48 p.m.
  • Bear off recube at 3a-3a?
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 18 December 2010, at 10:44 p.m.
  • Bear off recube at 3a-3a?
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 19 December 2010, at 9:57 a.m.
  • Bear off recube at 3a-3a?
    Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 19 December 2010, at 10:33 a.m.
  • Rollout and some variants
    mtuhtan -- Sunday, 19 December 2010, at 11:26 a.m.
    • Rollout for money and as initial double
      mtuhtan -- Sunday, 19 December 2010, at 11:31 a.m.
      • Very instructive set of variants! *NM*
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 19 December 2010, at 6:52 p.m.