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Prime vs Prime

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 20 December 2010, at 2:20 a.m.

In Response To: Prime vs Prime (christian munk-christensen)

I think you have to hold five consecutive points here, to have a decent chance of winning the priming battle. PoH doesn't look good because White is happy to dance. So I'm down to 8/2* 8/3, 10/4 8/3, and 10/5 8/2*.

10/4 8/3 looks pretty scary because if White rolls a 6 then we're toast. The advantage is that if White doesn't roll a 6 (25 rolls) then he cracks immediately.

If we hit then White cracks immediately with 15 rolls, though in some cases we end up on the bar. Only 62 is a total crusher. The 16 dancing rolls are bad for us because we're forced to continue our collapse, but they're not immediately fatal.

This is a difficult tradeoff for me to judge, but I think I'll go for the hit because 9 extra immediate crushers seem hard to compensate for. Then there's the question of which 5 to play. I think that if White dances then we'd rather cover the blot if we can, and having 2 checkers on the bar after White's crushing 62 doesn't seem to cost much especially at DMP.

10/5 8/2* is my play.

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