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Take or pass?

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 21 December 2010, at 12:56 a.m.

In Response To: Take or pass? (RealNick)

For money, I seem to recall that the borderline take/pass reference position has White with one checker on the bar, 3 checkers on the ace point, and Blue with spares on the 6pt, 5pt, and 4pt. Here, White has an extra checker off and Blue might not bear in perfectly, so that's bad for Blue. As compensation, Blue has some chances of shaking another White checker loose, plus a bit of racing equity since White may miss when bearing off. What about the score? Raw take point is slightly higher than for money so usually we would drop a little more quickly than for money, unless 8-pointers figure significantly in the money-game equity calculation, which I don't think they do here.

I'd pass but maybe a bot knows how to maximally exploit White's two home-board checkers to squeeze out a take.

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