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Calculating edge needed to overcome rake

Posted By: Rich Munitz
Date: Thursday, 23 December 2010, at 9:42 p.m.

In Response To: Calculating edge needed to overcome rake (RealNick)

Seems to me that you get $9 when you win and give $10 when you lose. So you need 10:9 odds in order to break even. So you must be able to win about 52.6% of the points.

Not to say it can be equated to money play, but as an FYI, the FIBS Elo formula predicts that in a 2-point match, a player with a 64 Elo advantage has a 52.6% chance of winning. A 64 Elo advantage is about 2 PR (33 Elo = 1PR). A 3 PR difference (99 Elo) wins about 54%.

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