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Rollout: 4a3a cube action

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 25 December 2010, at 9:44 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: 4a3a cube action (Timothy Chow)

Gave it an effort, no love. I'm sure if I had to I could load another MET and make it a take.

is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 138
7 point match
pip: 137
score: 3

is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BDB--A-bAb--eBc-b--A-:0:0:1:00:3:4:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 62.23% (G: 21.75% B: 0.98%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.77% (G: 7.78% B: 0.47%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.56% (G: 22.66% B: 2.12%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.44% (G: 8.49% B: 0.83%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.373
Double:+1.231
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.813 (-0.187)
Double/Take:+1.033 (+0.033)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
8461 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Search interval: Huge
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.807...+0.819)
Confidence Double: ± 0.009 (+1.024...+1.042)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 1 day 11 hours 20 minutes

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