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Money rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 3:57 p.m.

In Response To: Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action? (Stick)

This looks like it might be a Kauder paradox for money with Jacoby, though I'm not sure I totally trust the rollout.

Money with Jacoby: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg	107
tchow	87
Position ID: 2+UwgQDbtgGAQQ Match ID: MAEAACAACAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.184
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	-0.140
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+1.140
3.	No double	-0.303	-0.163
Proper cube action:		Double, beaver
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.488 0.263 0.017 - 0.512 0.072 0.001 +0.184 -0.303 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.006 Player tchow owns 2-cube 0.494 0.290 0.015 - 0.506 0.070 0.001 +0.444 -0.140 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.001 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.007 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 875928706 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action?
  Stick -- Monday, 20 December 2010, at 7:44 a.m.
  • Is is a weapon or a gift?!
    higonefive -- Monday, 20 December 2010, at 1:06 p.m.
    • Is is a weapon or a gift?!
      higonefive -- Tuesday, 21 December 2010, at 2:07 p.m.
  • Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action?
    phil simborg -- Monday, 20 December 2010, at 2:14 p.m.
    • Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action?
      neilkaz -- Monday, 20 December 2010, at 4:07 p.m.
  • Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action?
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 20 December 2010, at 3:50 p.m.
  • Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action?
    ah_clem -- Monday, 20 December 2010, at 9:30 p.m.
    • Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action?
      Stick -- Monday, 20 December 2010, at 9:42 p.m.
  • Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action?
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 20 December 2010, at 9:37 p.m.
  • Money rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 3:57 p.m.
  • Rollout: Falafel v. Stick - Cube Action?
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 4 January 2011, at 3:30 p.m.