For money, after 5k trials, it is too close to call:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 162 | Money session Jacoby | pip: 158 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b----E-C-A-dD---dAe----A-:0:0:1:33:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/5(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0,522 |
| Player: Opponent: | 61,59% (G:21,87% B:1,50%) 38,41% (G:10,54% B:0,54%) | Conf: ± 0,013 (+0,509...+0,535) Duration: 25 minutes 02 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/18 6/3(2) | eq: +0,510 (-0,012) |
| Player: Opponent: | 61,90% (G:17,32% B:0,64%) 38,10% (G:7,98% B:0,29%) | Conf: ± 0,010 (+0,500...+0,520) Duration: 24 minutes 01 second |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45297676 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
At Gammon Go, the choice is clear:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 1 pip: 162 | 2 point match Crawford | pip: 158 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b----E-C-A-dD---dAe----A-:0:0:1:33:0:1:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/5(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0,659 |
| Player: Opponent: | 62,34% (G:20,64% B:4,02%) 37,66% (G:12,01% B:1,10%) | Conf: ± 0,012 (+0,647...+0,671) Duration: 7 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/18 6/3(2) | eq: +0,596 (-0,063) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62,67% (G:17,14% B:1,63%) 37,33% (G:9,85% B:0,85%) | Conf: ± 0,010 (+0,586...+0,606) Duration: 7 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45297676 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
At Gammon Save, running to 15pt is the best:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 162 | 2 point match Crawford | pip: 158 score: 1
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b----E-C-A-dD---dAe----A-:0:0:1:33:1:0:1:2:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/15 18/15 | eq: +0,112 |
| Player: Opponent: | 63,24% (G:17,20% B:1,42%) 36,76% (G:7,62% B:0,58%) | Conf: ± 0,009 (+0,103...+0,121) Duration: 8 minutes 54 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/18 6/3(2) | eq: +0,079 (-0,034) |
| Player: Opponent: | 61,90% (G:20,02% B:1,47%) 38,10% (G:7,96% B:0,64%) | Conf: ± 0,010 (+0,069...+0,089) Duration: 8 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/18 13/10(2) | eq: +0,057 (-0,056) |
| Player: Opponent: | 61,58% (G:18,83% B:1,73%) 38,42% (G:8,75% B:0,56%) | Conf: ± 0,010 (+0,047...+0,067) Duration: 8 minutes 22 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45297676 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
At Double Match Point, running to 15pt is again the best, but making 3pt is closer than at Gammon Save:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 162 | | 1 point match | pip: 158 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b----E-C-A-dD---dAe----A-:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/15 18/15 | eq: +0,249 |
| Player: Opponent: | 62,45% (G:13,86% B:1,17%) 37,55% (G:7,10% B:0,52%) | Conf: ± 0,003 (+0,246...+0,252) Duration: 38 minutes 11 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/18 6/3(2) | eq: +0,239 (-0,010) |
| Player: Opponent: | 61,97% (G:20,04% B:2,22%) 38,03% (G:8,48% B:0,70%) | Conf: ± 0,004 (+0,235...+0,243) Duration: 37 minutes 22 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 24/18 13/10(2) | eq: +0,223 (-0,026) |
| Player: Opponent: | 61,17% (G:17,02% B:1,41%) 38,83% (G:7,75% B:0,67%) | Conf: ± 0,007 (+0,216...+0,230) Duration: 9 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 8/5(2) 6/3(2) | eq: +0,214 (-0,035) |
| Player: Opponent: | 60,72% (G:25,23% B:6,11%) 39,28% (G:11,77% B:1,35%) | Conf: ± 0,008 (+0,206...+0,222) Duration: 9 minutes 49 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45297676 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45297676 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross