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4th roll, 31 to play - Rollout

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Tuesday, 28 December 2010, at 4:01 p.m.

In Response To: 4th roll, 31 to play (mtuhtan)

Hitting on 3pt is correct, but making 4pt is very close. Even after 20k trials, it is still too close.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 160 Money session Jacoby pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---BC-D---dD---d-d-aA-A-:0:0:-1:31:0:0:1:0:10
White to play 31

1.	Rollout1	6/3* 4/3	eq: -0,256
	Player: Opponent: 43,86% (G:12,05% B:0,54%) 56,14% (G:16,34% B:0,81%) Conf: ± 0,006 (-0,262...-0,250) Duration: 1 hour 40 minutes
2.	Rollout1	8/4	eq: -0,264 (-0,008)
	Player: Opponent: 43,68% (G:11,72% B:0,45%) 56,32% (G:16,17% B:0,79%) Conf: ± 0,005 (-0,269...-0,259) Duration: 1 hour 34 minutes
3.	Rollout2	8/5 6/5	eq: -0,299 (-0,043)
	Player: Opponent: 43,20% (G:11,15% B:0,46%) 56,80% (G:17,27% B:1,07%) Conf: ± 0,013 (-0,312...-0,286) Duration: 30 minutes 18 seconds
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45297676 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 45297676 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• 4th roll, 31 to play
  mtuhtan -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 9:34 p.m.
  • 4th roll, 31 to play
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 10:14 p.m.
  • 4th roll, 31 to play
    Paul Weaver -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 10:25 p.m.
    • 4th roll, 31 to play
      Petter Bengtsson -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 10:35 p.m.
      • 4th roll, 31 to play
        Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 11:17 p.m.
    • 4th roll, 31 to play
      mtuhtan -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 10:51 p.m.
      • 4th roll, 31 to play
        mtuhtan -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 10:56 p.m.
      • 4th roll, 31 to play
        Petter Bengtsson -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 11:04 p.m.
        • 4th roll, 31 to play
          mtuhtan -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 11:45 p.m.
          • 4th roll, 31 to play
            Timothy Chow -- Monday, 27 December 2010, at 2:50 a.m.
            • 4th roll, 31 to play
              Nack Ballard -- Monday, 27 December 2010, at 6:19 a.m.
            • 4th roll, 31 to play
              mtuhtan -- Monday, 27 December 2010, at 6:25 a.m.
  • 4th roll, 31 to play
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 26 December 2010, at 11:08 p.m.
  • 4th roll, 31 to play
    neilkaz -- Monday, 27 December 2010, at 1:29 p.m.
  • 4th roll, 31 to play - Rollout
    mtuhtan -- Tuesday, 28 December 2010, at 4:01 p.m.