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Absolute winning chances, please?

Posted By: Gregg Cattanach
Date: Tuesday, 28 December 2010, at 7:07 p.m.

In Response To: As the Carquest commercial says... (Chuck Bower)

Quick question, Chuck:

You always just give the differential between the two decisions. But I'd be interested here in knowing what Atlanta's actual winning chances were by 1) punting and 2) going for it?

Talking to a layman, saying Smith gave up 8% winning chances by punting seems to be less understandable than saying Atlanta wins the game 33% when they punt, but 41% if the go for it, (or whatever it actually is.)

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