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Cube Decision

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 3 January 2011, at 1:24 a.m.

In Response To: Cube Decision (Stick)

Stick, I follow you up until you say:

Using John's figure of 70% for the interpolation between raw take point and fully live take point our raw take point of 29% will drop to somewhere between 21-22%.

What are you getting for the fully live take point? Isn't it 29% of 75%? If so, then 70% of the way between the fully live take point and the raw take point is somewhere between 23% and 24%. (Using a desk calculator I get 23.8% actually.)

It's interesting to compare with MCG's suggestion of averaging the autorecube take point and the "perfect recube" take point. If you automatically recube then the take point is 34.2%. "Perfect recube" means that your losses are with the cube on 2 and your wins are with the cube on 4. This works out to a 16.6% take point. Averaging them yields 25.4%. So you'd be more likely to drop using the MCG estimate than using the JOH estimate.

Either way, it seems that one will drop slightly more quickly than for money. I see that David Startin has just posted an ATS rollout but not a money rollout. I'd be curious to see a money rollout for comparison.

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