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Cube @ 2a4a *RO*

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Wednesday, 5 January 2011, at 7:57 a.m.

In Response To: Cube @ 2a4a (Dmitriy Obukhov)

After the match, XG evals insisted this was a take worth 0.968.

This was hard to believe. RO confirms that drop is corect, although decision is close. Gammon rate is low for this sort of positions.
is Minerva

score: 3
pip: 136
7 point match
pip: 147
score: 5

is Lyurix
XGID=----B-EAB-a-cC-c-c-d-a-AA-:0:0:-1:00:5:3:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
  Player Winning Chances: 68.34% (G: 11.49% B: 0.66%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 31.66% (G: 6.17% B: 0.39%)
Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 67.99% (G: 12.64% B: 1.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 32.01% (G: 7.12% B: 0.63%)
 
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.377
Double:+1.020
 
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.871 (-0.129)
Double/Take:+1.020 (+0.020)
Double/Drop:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
 
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
 
Confidence No Double: ± 0.010 (+0.861...+0.881)
Confidence Double: ± 0.014 (+1.006...+1.034)
 
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 99.7%
 
Duration: 55 minutes 27 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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