With the top play, every roll either hits or clears safely. There are no cases where that lurker in the outfield ever gets missed and we get shots that we would not have gotten otherwise. But getting hit creates the possibility of anchoring on the 21 point and increases wins, and sometimes gives returns from the roof.
 is Player 2score: 6 pip: 114 | ||||||||||||||||
 |  | 7 point match Crawford | ||||||||||||||
| pip: 177 score: 2  is Player 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| XGID=------CBBaCAb--A-cbcb-b-BA:0:0:1:44:2:6:1:7:10 | ||||||||||||||||
| to play 44 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 10/6 8/4(2) | eq: -0.478 | |||
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| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 11/3 7/3 | eq: -0.491 (-0.013) | |||
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| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 8/4 7/3(2) | eq: -0.492 (-0.013) | |||
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| 4. | Rollout2 | Bar/21 11/3 8/4 | eq: -0.492 (-0.014) | |||
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| 5. | Rollout3 | Bar/21 11/7 8/4(2) | eq: -0.497 (-0.019) | |||
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| 6. | Rollout3 | Bar/21 15/11 8/4(2) | eq: -0.498 (-0.020) | |||
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| 7. | Rollout4 | Bar/21 8/4(2) 7/3 | eq: -0.499 (-0.020) | |||
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| 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 1860 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 3 1297 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 4 1370 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply | ||||||
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross