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end game - leave shot

Posted By: zalan
Date: Sunday, 9 January 2011, at 8:20 a.m.

Somebody could explain, why is better leaving the checker at the 17-point, rather minimize the chance to hit?

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 65
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 77
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=--CBDACa-----Ba-----bcbbd-:1:1:-1:21:0:0:3:0:10
to play 21

1.6 ply18/17 11/9eq: -0,068
Player:
Opponent:		 53,29% (G:2,07% B:0,03%)
46,71% (G:0,98% B:0,02%)
2.6 ply18/16 11/10eq: -0,102 (-0,034)
Player:
Opponent:		 52,05% (G:1,88% B:0,03%)
47,95% (G:1,01% B:0,02%)
3.6 ply18/17 4/2eq: -0,108 (-0,040)
Player:
Opponent:		 51,56% (G:2,00% B:0,03%)
48,44% (G:1,28% B:0,03%)
4.6 ply18/16 4/3eq: -0,120 (-0,052)
Player:
Opponent:		 51,24% (G:1,84% B:0,03%)
48,76% (G:1,17% B:0,02%)
* 5.6 ply18/15eq: -0,137 (-0,069)
Player:
Opponent:		 50,74% (G:1,14% B:0,02%)
49,26% (G:1,13% B:0,02%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 65
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 71
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-ADBC-Ca-----Ba-----bcbbd-:1:1:-1:41:0:0:3:0:10
to play 41

1.6 ply18/17 11/7eq: -0,081
Player:
Opponent:		 53,40% (G:1,33% B:0,02%)
46,60% (G:0,47% B:0,01%)
2.6 ply18/14 11/10eq: -0,134 (-0,052)
Player:
Opponent:		 51,13% (G:1,20% B:0,02%)
48,87% (G:0,55% B:0,01%)
* 3.6 ply18/13eq: -0,144 (-0,063)
Player:
Opponent:		 50,69% (G:0,96% B:0,01%)
49,31% (G:0,58% B:0,01%)
4.6 ply18/14 4/3eq: -0,164 (-0,082)
Player:
Opponent:		 49,83% (G:1,17% B:0,02%)
50,17% (G:0,67% B:0,01%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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