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backgame cube --- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Sunday, 9 January 2011, at 2:41 p.m.

In Response To: backgame cube (Stick)

Here's the XGID from your post:

XGID=--bcBBC-B---cD---b-cAb--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:0

According to Xavier the ending 0 means the cube is capped at 1, a cubeless position!

My short cubeful rollout below has it as a marginal No Double.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 193
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 148
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=--bcBBC-B---cD---b-cAb--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 64,46% (G: 28,50% B: 2,08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35,54% (G: 6,06% B: 0,26%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64,60% (G: 29,24% B: 2,09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35,40% (G: 6,26% B: 0,30%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0,289
Double:+1,079
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0,773
Double/Take:+0,766 (-0,007)
Double/Drop:+1,000 (+0,227)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36095669
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0,040 (+0,733...+0,813)
Confidence Double: ± 0,043 (+0,723...+0,809)
Double Decision confidence: 58,9%
Take Decision confidence: 100,0%
Duration: 2 hours 55 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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