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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 14 December 2006, at 5:55 p.m.

In Response To: Recent money session gives me the blunders! (Stick)

Didn't take much of a rollout to see my blunderful play. I looked @ all 3 plays OTB for a good minute and thought that 11/10* was a must. I then ruled out 21/15 in combination with it because I thought six blots was a bit much lol. It seems so clear looking at it now that 7/1 is correct but OTB I played 13/7 trying to mini prime his 4 pt. anchor and break his prime.


Match to , tied at
134
125
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 11/10* 7/1 -0.297
0.3% 15.7% 45.2% 54.8% 15.1% 0.8%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.096 ±0.031. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 8535 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 22/21 13/7 -0.398 (-0.101)
0.2% 8.8% 41.7% 58.3% 10.2% 0.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.184 ±0.021. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 13686 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
3 R 13/7 11/10* -0.411 (-0.114)
0.7% 13.7% 42.3% 57.7% 16.9% 1.2%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.193 ±0.029. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 9464 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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