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Variant RO

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 15 January 2011, at 2:48 a.m.

In Response To: RO (John O'Hagan)

One of the two possible logical variants I mentioned with direct sixes to cover rolled out. (the better of the two variants for the player on roll)

is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 79
13 point match
pip: 85
score: 10

is Player 1
XGID=-aBBCBCA-----A-A--c-d-bcb-:1:1:1:00:10:4:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 90.24% (G: 5.75% B: 0.11%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 9.76% (G: 1.00% B: 0.02%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 91.52% (G: 8.80% B: 0.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 8.48% (G: 1.27% B: 0.04%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.827
Redouble:+1.232
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.889
Redouble/Take:+0.881 (-0.008)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.111)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.002 (+0.888...+0.891)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.005 (+0.876...+0.886)
Double Decision confidence: 99.8%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 51 seconds

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