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Wrong cube position

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 2:49 a.m.

In Response To: Corrected Rollout Result Posted (Paul Weaver)

Your RO shows the 2-cube on Mario's side. Maybe that's why it shows not redoubling to be such a large error? Here's my 3-ply RO.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 40
7 point match
pip: 86
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBBBBAC-A-------A--A---ee-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 76.36% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.64% (G: 3.41% B: 0.03%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.73% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.27% (G: 3.73% B: 0.22%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.490
Redouble:+1.038
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.841 (-0.067)
Redouble/Take:+0.908
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.092)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.005 (+0.836...+0.846)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.008 (+0.900...+0.916)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 21.1 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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