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A teaser - rollout

Posted By: Keene
Date: Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 12:33 a.m.

In Response To: A teaser (Keene)

	is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 135 5 point match Crawford pip: 19 score: 4 is Player 1
XGID=-Eb-AB-a-----a---babbbb---:0:0:1:41:4:2:1:5:10
to play 41

* 1.	Rollout1	5/4 5/1	eq: +0.828
	Player: Opponent: 91.39% (G:81.86% B:6.91%) 8.61% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.826...+0.830) Duration: 1 minute 12 seconds
2.	Rollout1	4/0ff 1/0ff	eq: +0.807 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 90.37% (G:71.93% B:18.40%) 9.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf: ± 0.002 (+0.805...+0.809) Duration: 1 minute 48 seconds
3.	1 ply	5/0ff	eq: +0.139 (-0.688)
	Player: Opponent: 56.97% (G:38.66% B:1.68%) 43.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4.	1 ply	5/1 4/3	eq: +0.120 (-0.707)
	Player: Opponent: 56.01% (G:41.59% B:1.22%) 43.99% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
1 Truncated at 8 moves using 5 ply. 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Small error to rip. I chose the safe play (clear the 5pt) thinking mostly about long term safety, but after I was hit, I was thinking about the 2 extra checkers I could have had off. This hit stat. sig. very early in the rollout. 100% confidence.

Only Phil and Sal bit this then. You guys are too good. I'll have to post harder plays in the future.

Messages In This Thread

• A teaser
  Keene -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 2:18 a.m.
  • A teaser
    Bill Riles -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 2:31 a.m.
  • A teaser
    Lucas Bauer -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 3:52 a.m.
    • A teaser
      Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 3:05 p.m.
    • A teaser
      sal pittelli -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 3:27 p.m.
      • A teaser
        Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 5:06 p.m.
      • A teaser
        Lucas Bauer -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 5:26 p.m.
  • A teaser
    Phil Simborg -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 4:08 p.m.
  • A teaser; part II
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 4:18 p.m.
    • A teaser; part II
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 5:03 p.m.
    • A teaser; part II -- RO
      Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 4:05 p.m.
      • A teaser; part II -- RO
        Lucas Bauer -- Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 4:29 p.m.
        • Answering a question with a question
          Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 6:32 p.m.
          • Answering a question with a question
            Lucas Bauer -- Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 7:11 p.m.
  • A teaser; Part III
    Bill Riles -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 4:24 p.m.
  • A teaser
    Lucas Bauer -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 9:54 p.m.
    • A teaser
      Stick -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 9:59 p.m.
    • A teaser
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 6:41 p.m.
      • A teaser
        Lucas Bauer -- Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 7:12 p.m.
  • RO
    Lucas Bauer -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 10:23 p.m.
    • RO
      Stick -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 10:30 p.m.
      • RO
        Lucas Bauer -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 10:48 p.m.
        • RO
          Stick -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 10:55 p.m.
          • RO
            Lucas Bauer -- Saturday, 22 January 2011, at 11:06 p.m.
  • A teaser - rollout
    Keene -- Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 12:33 a.m.
    • A teaser - rollout
      Stick -- Sunday, 23 January 2011, at 8:37 a.m.