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BGonline.org Forums
OLM We 01/26/11
Posted By: kruidenbuiltje In Response To: OLM We 01/26/11 (Jason Lee)
Date: Thursday, 27 January 2011, at 9:38 a.m.
White has a 3,5 vs. 1 point board the golden structure a good anchor
3,5 and 12 cover = 27/36 D2 and 42 close a 4th point 62 and 61 will escape the back checker 64 hits a second checker
when white closes one out gammonchances will be in the 50% range with 2 closed out gammonchances are around 95%
all in all i estimate the gammons in this position in the range 20-25% so blue has to win about 38% for a money take
We are still far away from the 15 so match is of little influence
a clear pass
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