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Rollout Results Posted: 31P-43Z-53H-61 for $ and GS

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Monday, 31 January 2011, at 7:40 p.m.

In the actual game (-2-4, I owed the cube), I played S (B/18). Black has only 8 checkers in the zone, so I thought it was a reasonable play to try to make an advanced anchor. However, keeping the anchor on the 24pt while playing 13/7 reduces White's chance of losing a gammon.

Three results are posted below. (1) Rollout for money, (2) Rollout at Gammon Save and (3) XG+ eval at Gammon Save is posted to show how far off the eval was compared to the rollout result.

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155 Money session pip: 176 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eD---b-dbA--AA:1:1:1:61:0:0:0:0:10
to play 61

1.	Rollout1	Bar/18	eq: -0.335
	Player: Opponent: 35.15% (G:7.76% B:0.36%) 64.85% (G:24.37% B:1.37%) Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.341...-0.329) Duration: 5 hours 38 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/24 13/7	eq: -0.352 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 34.27% (G:7.82% B:0.36%) 65.73% (G:23.28% B:2.16%) Conf: ± 0.006 (-0.358...-0.346) Duration: 5 hours 40 minutes
3.	Rollout2	Bar/24 21/15	eq: -0.393 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 32.76% (G:6.92% B:0.31%) 67.24% (G:23.11% B:1.83%) Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.402...-0.384) Duration: 2 hours 48 minutes
1 8388 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

	is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 155 5 point match pip: 176 score: 3 is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eD---b-dbA--AA:1:1:1:61:3:1:0:5:10
to play 61

1.	Rollout1	Bar/24 13/7	eq: -0.761
	Player: Opponent: 34.07% (G:9.48% B:1.17%) 65.93% (G:22.14% B:5.97%) Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.769...-0.753) Duration: 3 hours 01 minute
2.	Rollout1	Bar/24 21/15	eq: -0.781 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 31.82% (G:7.47% B:0.77%) 68.18% (G:20.87% B:4.33%) Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.788...-0.774) Duration: 2 hours 52 minutes
3.	Rollout1	Bar/18	eq: -0.782 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 34.65% (G:9.31% B:1.33%) 65.35% (G:23.74% B:3.35%) Conf: ± 0.007 (-0.789...-0.775) Duration: 2 hours 52 minutes
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

	is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 155 5 point match pip: 176 score: 3 is Player 1
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eD---b-dbA--AA:1:1:1:61:3:1:0:5:10
to play 61

1.	XG Roller+	Bar/18	eq: -0.734
	Player: Opponent: 36.53% (G:8.10% B:0.42%) 63.47% (G:23.22% B:1.40%)
2.	XG Roller+	Bar/24 13/7	eq: -0.746 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 34.79% (G:7.84% B:0.35%) 65.21% (G:22.10% B:1.97%)
3.	XG Roller+	Bar/24 21/15	eq: -0.771 (-0.037)
	Player: Opponent: 32.75% (G:6.84% B:0.29%) 67.25% (G:21.30% B:1.56%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Rollout Results Posted: 31P-43Z-53H-61 for $ and GS
  Paul Weaver -- Monday, 31 January 2011, at 7:40 p.m.
  • Rollout Results: 31P-43Z-53H-61 for Money and GS
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 31 January 2011, at 8:28 p.m.