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Cube action at -3-2

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Thursday, 3 February 2011, at 3:04 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action at -3-2 (Dmitriy Obukhov)

I've read that when your opponent is 2-away you should double aggressively since his takepoint is high. But my understanding is that this is based on older data that is no longer considered relevant. For instance http://www.bkgm.com/articles/mpd.html#market_window_table has the take point at 34%, while a more modern source (http://bigwillgammon.site90.com/bgcardv2.pdf) puts it at 26%.

My own calculation based on g11 gives 26.63%

So, I don't think there's any hurry to double here. It's certainly a take, but I'd hold the cube here to see what happens next. White has a small advantage in position, race, and threats, but they're all small. White also has some market losers, so my thought is that if doubling is incorrect it's not incorrect by much. I hold, and if I roll a market loser and cube him out, fine.

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