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OLM We 02/02/11 Rollout at -4/-2

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Saturday, 5 February 2011, at 4:07 p.m.

In Response To: OLM We 02/02/11 (neilkaz)

neilkaz: I'd certainly cube this at -4-2.





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 160
4 point match
pip: 154
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aA-Ba-C-B---dE---d-e----B-:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:4:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 54.91% (G: 21.18% B: 0.98%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 45.09% (G: 13.00% B: 1.51%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 55.42% (G: 22.41% B: 1.35%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 44.58% (G: 13.98% B: 1.98%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.084
Double:+0.890
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.642 (-0.247)
Double/Take:+0.890
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.110)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.008 (+0.634...+0.650)
Confidence Double: ± 0.011 (+0.878...+0.901)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 6 hours 33 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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