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Another pretty v. ugly decision

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Sunday, 6 February 2011, at 4:36 p.m.

In Response To: Another pretty v. ugly decision (leobueno)

I don't undersand rollout settings too well, so don't trust these.

The score (after 0 games) is: mochy 0, falafel 0 (match to 11 points)

Move number 23: falafel to play 42

mochy	97
falafel	116
Position ID: brMNCALanBsAAw Match ID: cAlqAQAAAAAA

• falafel moves 9/5*/3

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity		+0.126	(Money: +0.126)
	52.7 15.2 0.5 - 47.3 8.4 0.2
Cubeful equities:
	4-ply cubeful prune
1.	No double	+0.128
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.872
3.	Double, take	-0.062	-0.190
Proper cube action:		No double, take (17.9%)

Alert: bad move ( -0.058)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/2	-0.179
			44.6 8.4 0.2 - 55.4 4.5 0.2 -0.069 -0.179 0.1 0.1 0.0 - 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.003 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1300 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 879372819 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
•	2	R	9/5*/3	-0.237 ( -0.058)
			42.6 10.1 0.3 - 57.4 11.4 0.3 -0.161 -0.237 0.1 0.1 0.0 - 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.003 0.008
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 879372819 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
			Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
	3	0	8/4 6/4	-0.346 ( -0.167)
			38.1 5.3 0.1 - 61.9 5.3 0.0
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	4	0	6/2 3/1	-0.378 ( -0.198)
			37.0 5.4 0.1 - 63.0 5.3 0.0
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	5	0	6/2 4/2	-0.389 ( -0.209)
			37.0 4.8 0.1 - 63.0 5.4 0.0
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	6	0	9/5* 8/6	-0.395 ( -0.216)
			40.6 11.8 0.4 - 59.4 21.3 0.9
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	7	0	8/4 3/1	-0.426 ( -0.247)
			35.4 5.4 0.1 - 64.6 5.3 0.0
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	8	0	9/7 9/5*	-0.432 ( -0.252)
			40.1 11.3 0.3 - 59.9 22.7 0.9
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	9	0	9/5* 6/4	-0.448 ( -0.268)
			39.6 11.0 0.3 - 60.4 22.3 1.0
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	10	0	9/5* 4/2	-0.462 ( -0.282)
			38.9 10.6 0.2 - 61.1 21.6 0.9
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	11	0	8/6 8/4	-0.553 ( -0.374)
			32.6 5.3 0.1 - 67.4 8.9 0.1
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	12	0	9/3	-0.563 ( -0.383)
			32.3 5.1 0.1 - 67.7 8.6 0.1
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	13	0	6/4 6/2	-0.598 ( -0.418)
			31.9 5.1 0.1 - 68.1 9.5 0.1
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	14	0	9/7 6/2	-0.730 ( -0.550)
			30.5 5.5 0.1 - 69.5 13.2 0.2
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	15	0	9/7 8/4	-0.857 ( -0.677)
			28.6 5.3 0.1 - 71.4 14.7 0.3
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
	16	0	20/14	-1.000 ( -0.821)
			27.6 6.9 0.3 - 72.4 32.9 1.0
			0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Messages In This Thread

• Another pretty v. ugly decision
  leobueno -- Saturday, 5 February 2011, at 6:09 p.m.
  • Another pretty v. ugly decision
    Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 5 February 2011, at 6:23 p.m.
  • Another pretty v. ugly decision
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 5 February 2011, at 6:47 p.m.
    • Another pretty v. ugly decision
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 6 February 2011, at 6:53 a.m.
  • Another pretty v. ugly decision
    leobueno -- Sunday, 6 February 2011, at 4:36 p.m.
    • 0-ply rollout above
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 6 February 2011, at 4:40 p.m.
  • Variant
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 6 February 2011, at 4:37 p.m.
  • RO
    Petter Bengtsson -- Sunday, 6 February 2011, at 4:46 p.m.
    • RO
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 6 February 2011, at 5:04 p.m.