[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout: 5a4a recube action

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 11 February 2011, at 12:05 a.m.

In Response To: 5a4a recube action (Timothy Chow)

For money this is an easy take and it is the double that is in question, but the elevated takepoint ATS means that here it is the take that is in question. The rollout puts the decision right on the borderline.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 147
7 point match
pip: 126
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB-AbBB-C---aD-aab-c-bbA--:1:1:1:00:2:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 63.46% (G: 29.67% B: 1.91%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.54% (G: 10.29% B: 1.13%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.41% (G: 29.94% B: 3.20%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.59% (G: 10.17% B: 1.19%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.581
Redouble:+1.002
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.837 (-0.163)
Redouble/Take:+1.002 (+0.002)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.009 (+0.828...+0.846)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.011 (+0.991...+1.013)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 63.6%
Duration: 9 hours 27 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.