Apparently my first instinct was the right one. White's indirect shots after we play bar/10 20/15 are not much to worry about, given White's weak home board. I'm guessing that in Stick's variant, either bar/15 20/15 13/8 or bar/20 13/3 8/3 comes out on top.
Hitting might be a candidate at gammon go, but for containment purposes it's more effective to use those pips to bring more ammunition up front.
           
 
        
 | | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 110 | Money session
Jacoby | pip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-a--BBC-C----C---cddAb-a-A:1:1:1:55:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 55 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/10 20/15 | eq: +0.655 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.29% (G:5.73% B:0.15%)
32.71% (G:6.56% B:0.15%) | Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.645...+0.665)
Duration: 2 hours 56 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/15 20/15 13/8 | eq: +0.611 (-0.045) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 66.15% (G:4.64% B:0.12%)
33.85% (G:4.90% B:0.11%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.603...+0.619)
Duration: 2 hours 38 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 13/3 8/3 | eq: +0.607 (-0.048) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 65.19% (G:7.49% B:0.14%)
34.81% (G:5.12% B:0.12%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (+0.598...+0.616)
Duration: 2 hours 29 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 8/3(2) 6/1* | eq: +0.556 (-0.099) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.56% (G:10.67% B:0.19%)
37.44% (G:8.25% B:0.20%) | Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.546...+0.566)
Duration: 2 hours 40 minutes |
|
| |
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21