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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 15 February 2011, at 1:54 p.m.

In Response To: Cube Action? (Stick)

I would have dropped this OtB. Note it's not only the twenty shots and 2s & 4s that hit loose as someone mentioned but that sixes should be used to hit loose as well.

is eXtremeGammon

score: 0
pip: 87
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 36
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aADA--------------bbcbcbA-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 77.39% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.61% (G: 0.85% B: 0.07%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.50% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.50% (G: 0.74% B: 0.05%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.539
Redouble:+1.124
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.787 (-0.207)
Redouble/Take:+0.993
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.007)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 21140344
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.003 (+0.783...+0.790)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.005 (+0.988...+0.999)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 99.3%
Duration: 9 minutes 12 seconds

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