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2 part question -- White also has a decision

Posted By: Henrik Bukkjaer
Date: Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 5:37 p.m.

In Response To: 2 part question -- White also has a decision (Casper van der Tak)

Casper, I think Chuck is getting at this:

You can play on, hoping to win the gammon (earning the value of the free drop), or even the backgammon winning the match.

BUT, if your position gets a little bit worse you might end up with better chances of a wrong take!

So you have to look for the negative volatility of your position, what's at risk rolling on from here?

And that really is the one big problem of getting clever with these kinds of positions OtB - you have to consider the volatility of each and every roll, on both sides of your optimal doubling point.

Typically I'm clever here myself, and the cube decision have to take into consideration your opponents style and weight that heavily.

Messages In This Thread

• Post Crawford cube decisions
  Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 3:30 p.m.
  • Post Crawford cube decisions
    Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 4:01 p.m.
    • 2 part question -- White also has a decision *NM*
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 4:05 p.m.
      • 2 part question -- White also has a decision
        Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 4:40 p.m.
        • 2 part question -- White also has a decision
          Henrik Bukkjaer -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 5:37 p.m.
          • 2 part question -- White also has a decision
            Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 6:01 p.m.
            • 2 part question -- White also has a decision
              neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 6:10 p.m.
              • 2 part question -- White also has a decision
                Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 6:24 p.m.
                • 2 part question -- White also has a decision
                  neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 6:26 p.m.
                • 52D-63S-C and 52D-63S-55A-F-C at –3–p
                  Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 7:29 p.m.
                  • 52D-63S-C and 52D-63S-55A-F-C at –3–p
                    Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 7:44 p.m.
  • Post Crawford cube decisions
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 4:23 p.m.
  • Post Crawford cube decisions
    Lucas Bauer -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 4:29 p.m.
  • Post Crawford cube decisions
    christian munk-christensen -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 5:16 p.m.
    • Post Crawford cube decisions
      Stick -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 5:20 p.m.
    • Post Crawford cube decisions
      Petter Bengtsson -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 5:36 p.m.
    • OtB sequence: 52D-63S-55A-wiff *NM*
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 5:38 p.m.
      • Missed cube after 52D-63S *NM*
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 February 2011, at 5:39 p.m.
  • Post Crawford cube decisions -- Rollout
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 17 February 2011, at 5:38 p.m.
    • bonus checkerplay RO -- 52D-63 at +3p score
      Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 17 February 2011, at 6:00 p.m.
      • 52D-63-s
        Stick -- Thursday, 17 February 2011, at 6:15 p.m.
      • bonus checkerplay RO -- 52D-63 at +3p score
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 17 February 2011, at 8:10 p.m.