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Hit one or hit two? ***rollout*** spoiler

Posted By: leobueno
Date: Saturday, 19 February 2011, at 4:10 p.m.

In Response To: Hit one or hit two? (leobueno)

Don't know how robust the rollout is. Surprised by the equity difference.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, leo 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 3: leo to play 44

gnubg	145
leo	134
Position ID: mOfgEQSMn4NBIA Match ID: cAlyAAAAAAAA

• leo moves 13/9*(2) 8/4*(2)

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity		+0.194	(Money: +0.154)
	0.541 0.163 0.005 - 0.459 0.092 0.003
Cubeful equities:
	4-ply cubeful prune
1.	No double	+0.226
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.774
3.	Double, take	-0.056	-0.282
Proper cube action:		No double, take (26.7%)

Alert: very bad move ( -0.136)

Alert: very lucky roll! ( +0.797)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/4*(2) 6/2(2)	+1.075
			0.698 0.447 0.017 - 0.302 0.071 0.007 +0.964 +1.075 0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 879766448 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	24/20 13/9* 8/4*(2)	+0.963 ( -0.112)
			0.683 0.414 0.019 - 0.317 0.084 0.010 +0.859 +0.963 0.001 0.003 0.002 - 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.005 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 879766448 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	3	R	13/9*(2) 8/4*(2)	+0.939 ( -0.136)
			0.671 0.407 0.022 - 0.329 0.080 0.005 +0.838 +0.939 0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.004 0.011
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 879766448 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	18/14 13/9* 8/4*(2)	+0.893 ( -0.182)
			0.667 0.422 0.024 - 0.333 0.089 0.012 +0.831 +0.893 0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.004 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 879766448 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	13/9* 8/4*(3)	+0.850 ( -0.224)
			0.643 0.386 0.016 - 0.357 0.093 0.008 +0.733 +0.850 0.001 0.003 0.002 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.004 0.009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1297 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 879766448 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	6	R	13/9* 8/4* 6/2(2)	+0.819 ( -0.256)
			0.654 0.421 0.018 - 0.346 0.113 0.018 +0.774 +0.819 0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.007 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 879766448 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Hit one or hit two?
  leobueno -- Friday, 18 February 2011, at 3:12 p.m.
  • Hit one or hit two?
    Lucas Bauer -- Friday, 18 February 2011, at 3:59 p.m.
    • Hit one or hit two?
      Lucas Bauer -- Friday, 18 February 2011, at 4:04 p.m.
      • Hit one or hit two?
        ah_clem -- Friday, 18 February 2011, at 4:26 p.m.
        • Hit one or hit two?
          Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 18 February 2011, at 6:49 p.m.
  • Hit one or hit two?
    Turz -- Friday, 18 February 2011, at 4:09 p.m.
  • Hit one or hit two?
    ah_clem -- Friday, 18 February 2011, at 4:15 p.m.
  • Find the mistake
    Nack Ballard -- Friday, 18 February 2011, at 8:24 p.m.
  • Hit one or hit two? ***rollout*** spoiler
    leobueno -- Saturday, 19 February 2011, at 4:10 p.m.
    • Hit one or hit two? ***rollout*** spoiler
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 February 2011, at 5:18 p.m.