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Pittsburgh Doubles #2 ROLLOUT

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Saturday, 19 February 2011, at 11:03 p.m.

In Response To: PIttsburgh Doubles #2 (Jason Lee)





White is Claude Landry & Mary Hickey

score: 3
pip: 147
7 point match
pip: 133
score: 3

Blue is Chuck Bower & Jason Lee
XGID=---aB-E-BBaAdB---c-db---A-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 59.96% (G: 24.89% B: 1.47%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.04% (G: 8.83% B: 0.77%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.02% (G: 25.65% B: 3.57%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.98% (G: 9.16% B: 0.90%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.432
Double:+1.238
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.553 (-0.089)
Double/Take:+0.641
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.359)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.010 (+0.543...+0.563)
Confidence Double: ± 0.016 (+0.625...+0.658)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 9 hours 02 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Well, the first position I posted didn't go well for us, but this one did. Chuck didn't require that much persuasion to send it over. Squeaked out a gammon and the match.

JLee

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