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Rollout

Posted By: Adam Versaw
Date: Tuesday, 22 February 2011, at 2:58 p.m.

In Response To: Recube position from doubles finals (Adam Versaw)

I knew I had to doulbe this at score. Wasn't sure about the take, but certainly there is a lot of play.
White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 180
7 point match
pip: 195
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bdBBB-B-----Aa--AbbbbCB-:1:1:1:00:1:3:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 60.91% (G: 28.91% B: 3.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.09% (G: 18.22% B: 5.10%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.10% (G: 28.82% B: 6.74%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.90% (G: 20.16% B: 6.95%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.377
Redouble:+0.982
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.799 (-0.184)
Redouble/Take:+0.982
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.018)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.009 (+0.790...+0.808)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.014 (+0.969...+0.996)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 99.4%
Duration: 6 hours 30 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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