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Rollout

Posted By: Adam Versaw
Date: Tuesday, 22 February 2011, at 3:40 p.m.

In Response To: Recube postion from first round match Pittsburgh (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 123
9 point match
pip: 135
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--abCBBABB----A---bbcbbBa-:1:1:1:00:1:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 63.78% (G: 17.29% B: 1.26%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.22% (G: 12.67% B: 1.26%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.47% (G: 17.59% B: 1.99%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.53% (G: 13.46% B: 2.13%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.347
Redouble:+1.040
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.732 (-0.230)
Redouble/Take:+0.961
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.039)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2985 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.010 (+0.721...+0.742)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.015 (+0.946...+0.977)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 32 minutes 43 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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