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More on the art of beavering

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 23 February 2011, at 2:53 a.m.

In Response To: More on the art of beavering (Timothy Chow)

I'm not quite done with this rollout, but in any case it's clear that it's technically not a beaver. Is it a practical beaver? Against some of the weaker players in my chouette I might still be a favorite here, but I think beavering is doubtful at best.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----BDbC---dD---bbcbB----:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
White on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 59.43% (G: 6.49% B: 0.21%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.57% (G: 5.17% B: 0.17%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.63% (G: 6.49% B: 0.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.37% (G: 5.22% B: 0.15%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.189
Double:+0.411
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.326
Double/Take:+0.120 (-0.206)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.674)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
821 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.019 (+0.307...+0.345)
Confidence Double: ± 0.028 (+0.092...+0.148)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 52 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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