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Double on "Ugly"? *RO*

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Saturday, 26 February 2011, at 2:12 a.m.

In Response To: Double on "Ugly"? (Dmitriy Obukhov)

is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 108
7 point match
pip: 143
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-A-b-BC-C-B--B---db--cBbb-:0:0:1:00:0:3:0:7:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 60.04% (G: 17.74% B: 0.56%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.96% (G: 9.47% B: 0.80%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.51% (G: 18.80% B: 0.58%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.49% (G: 9.72% B: 1.56%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.268
Double:+0.584
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.535
Double/Take:+0.498 (-0.037)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.465)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.023 (+0.512...+0.558)
Confidence Double: ± 0.028 (+0.471...+0.526)
Double Decision confidence: 97.7%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 20 minutes 19 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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