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Backgame position

Posted By: Lucas Bauer
Date: Saturday, 26 February 2011, at 5:00 p.m.

In Response To: Backgame position (Sebastiaan kuijs)

If we just cover the 5 pt., we get and hit a shot (33)(56)=18%, even if we dont get a shot right away, we will probably get one later so add 15%=33%. When we hit a shot we will win about (70%)(33%)= 23% total. For the hitting play, I had to break the return rolls into 6 categories of strength--rough estimation. I came up with something right around 30%, now I could be way off with either of the analyses, but it looks like I would hit.

Messages In This Thread

• Backgame position
  Backgame -- Friday, 25 February 2011, at 10:11 p.m.
  • Backgame position
    Seth -- Friday, 25 February 2011, at 10:54 p.m.
  • Backgame position
    Stick -- Friday, 25 February 2011, at 10:58 p.m.
  • Backgame position
    higonefive -- Saturday, 26 February 2011, at 1:43 a.m.
  • Backgame position
    Sebastiaan kuijs -- Saturday, 26 February 2011, at 12:53 p.m.
    • Backgame position
      Lucas Bauer -- Saturday, 26 February 2011, at 5:00 p.m.
      • Backgame position
        Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 27 February 2011, at 6:35 a.m.
  • Backgame position
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 26 February 2011, at 5:46 p.m.