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Variance Reduction Question

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Saturday, 5 March 2011, at 1:08 p.m.

In Response To: Variance Reduction Question (Phil Simborg)

The score (after 1 game) is: Neil 1, XG Roller+ 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 23: XG Roller+ to play 53

Neil	138
XG Roller+	92
Position ID: cNeKAyC2a0YGAA Match ID: QYmuABAAAAAA

• XG Roller+ moves 8/5 8/3

Alert: bad move ( -0.045)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	4	11/6 8/5	+1.260
			0.829 0.470 0.004 - 0.171 0.026 0.001
•	2	4	8/5 8/3	+1.215 ( -0.045)
			0.816 0.464 0.004 - 0.184 0.027 0.001

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 138 5 point match pip: 92 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBCAB-B--AcB-aabacc-----:1:-1:1:53:0:1:0:5:10
Blue to play 53

1.	XG Roller+	8/5 8/3	eq: +1.271
	Player: Opponent: 82.94% (G:47.25% B:0.41%) 17.06% (G:2.57% B:0.13%)
2.	XG Roller+	11/6 8/5	eq: +1.264 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 84.35% (G:44.35% B:0.41%) 15.65% (G:2.34% B:0.14%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 138 5 point match pip: 92 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBCAB-B--AcB-aabacc-----:1:-1:1:53:0:1:0:5:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	11/6 8/5	eq: +1.295
	Player: Opponent: 83.95% (G:47.61% B:0.36%) 16.05% (G:2.90% B:0.18%) Conf: ± 0.011 (+1.284...+1.306) Duration: 5 minutes 07 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/5 8/3	eq: +1.251 (-0.043)
	Player: Opponent: 82.63% (G:47.21% B:0.35%) 17.37% (G:3.05% B:0.18%) Conf: ± 0.011 (+1.240...+1.262) Duration: 5 minutes 04 seconds
1 1300 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31247 First 2 moves and cube decisions: 4 ply Remaining moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Variance Reduction Question
  Michael Depreli -- Friday, 4 March 2011, at 11:00 a.m.
  • Variance Reduction Question
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Friday, 4 March 2011, at 11:13 a.m.
    • Variance Reduction Question
      Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 4 March 2011, at 11:26 a.m.
      • Variance Reduction Question
        Phil Simborg -- Friday, 4 March 2011, at 3:28 p.m.
        • Variance Reduction Question
          LowRayTeeng -- Saturday, 5 March 2011, at 5:43 a.m.
          • Variance Reduction Question
            Phil Simborg -- Saturday, 5 March 2011, at 8:11 a.m.
            • Variance Reduction Question
              Neil Robins -- Saturday, 5 March 2011, at 1:08 p.m.
        • Variance Reduction Question
          Dmitriy Obukhov -- Saturday, 5 March 2011, at 7:25 p.m.
          • Variance Reduction Question
            Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 6 March 2011, at 7:52 p.m.
        • XGR+ vs. XG ROLLOUT results
          6stones -- Sunday, 6 March 2011, at 11:29 a.m.
  • Variance Reduction Question
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 5 March 2011, at 4:10 p.m.
  • Variance Reduction Question
    Stick -- Saturday, 5 March 2011, at 4:16 p.m.
  • Variance Reduction Question
    Maik Stiebler -- Saturday, 5 March 2011, at 9:13 p.m.