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Couple of Opening 6-4 Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 16 December 2006, at 3:51 a.m.

In Response To: Major Updates (Stick)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 8/2 6/2 +0,01021
49,842% 15,768% 0,811%- 50,158% 14,196% 0,621% +0,01446 +0,01021
0,044% 0,050% 0,015%- 0,044% 0,049% 0,013% 0,00116 0,00313
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
16428 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 983052480 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/18 13/9 +0,00995 ( -0,00026)
50,289% 13,598% 0,665%- 49,711% 13,628% 0,598% +0,00614 +0,00995
0,050% 0,052% 0,020%- 0,050% 0,052% 0,015% 0,00137 0,00341
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
16428 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 983052480 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 24/14 +0,00857 ( -0,00164)
50,591% 11,814% 0,503%- 49,409% 12,888% 0,479% +0,00132 +0,00857
0,045% 0,047% 0,013%- 0,045% 0,050% 0,012% 0,00114 0,00308
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
16427 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 983052480 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


# Ply Move Equity
1 R 8/2 6/2 +0.0133
0.49800.15790.0081-0.50200.1416style="text-align: right">0.0062 +0.0143

+0.0133

0.00050.00050.0002-0.00050.0005style="text-align: right">0.0002 0.0012

0.0032

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1024853824 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 24/14 +0.0115 ( -0.0018)
0.50640.11790.0054-0.49360.1291style="text-align: right">0.0048 +0.0023

+0.0115

0.00050.00050.0001-0.00050.0005style="text-align: right">0.0001 0.0012

0.0031

Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1024853824 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]


# Ply Move Equity
1 R 8/2 6/2 0.014
1.0% 16.0% 49.7% 50.3% 14.5% 0.7%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.014 ±0.004. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 15552 games (equiv. 502200 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 24/18 13/9 0.011 (-0.003)
0.7% 13.8% 50.4% 49.6% 13.9% 0.6%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.009 ±0.004. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 15552 games (equiv. 465754 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
3 R 24/14 0.007 (-0.007)
0.6% 12.3% 50.7% 49.3% 13.5% 0.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.003 ±0.004. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 15552 games (equiv. 504273 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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