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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Wednesday, 9 March 2011, at 1:16 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)

Trailer's 2-cube takepoint is around 29% ATS, 2-cube gammon values favor the trailer by a 73/47 or so ratio, and the leader's 4-cube takepoint is 1/3 ATS. Trailer doesn't turn this around often enough to take so D/P is correct.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
5 point match
pip: 134
score: 2

is Player 1
XGID=--aB-BC-C-a-dD---d-e----A-:0:0:1:00:2:0:0:5:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 73.40% (G: 33.03% B: 1.89%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.60% (G: 4.37% B: 0.29%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.81% (G: 34.38% B: 5.31%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.19% (G: 4.34% B: 0.52%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.841
Double:+1.594
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.943 (-0.057)
Double/Take:+1.164 (+0.164)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.015 (+0.928...+0.958)
Confidence Double: ± 0.024 (+1.140...+1.189)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 19 minutes 05 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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