(Alternatively in the sequence: 54H can be replaced by 63H; and/or 62H-53S-41H can be replaced by 53H-53S-41H or 64H-53S-21H.)
| (Blue will lead by at least 22 pips) | |
|---|---|
| |
| 51S-21U-54H-31H-64R-55A-62H-53S-41H-62H-44 | |
- C = Bar/21*/17 8/4(2)
c = Bar/21* 17/13 8/4*(2)
M = Bar/21* 13/5 8/4*
m = Bar/21* 13/9 8/4*(2)
Q = Bar/21* 8/4*(2) 6/2*
q = Bar/21* 8/4*(2) 5/1*
Y = Bar/21*/17 13/5
y = Bar/21* 17/5
The candidates I seriously considered are in black, weak plays (blunders?) in red, and plays I rate as terrible in green. Capitals tend to be stronger plays than the lower case due to the (useful) hit/most/6 rule, and that is the case here (except that Q is worse than q).
Having a strong positional advantage and at the same time being outboarded, I think Blue should play solidly with Y. If White fans, Blue can just cash; more aggressive plays become overkill (or could backfire). Even if White can manage a take with entering numbers like 63 53 61 51, it won't be by much.
Nack