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BGonline.org Forums
Daily Quiz - 3/11/11
Posted By: Golden In Response To: Daily Quiz - 3/11/11 (Stick)
Date: Saturday, 12 March 2011, at 6:35 a.m.
1. Hit/fan looks like market loss, so over it goes. Of the 21 rolls that hit, I'll guess P1 wins 2, but gets gammoned on 3. 15 rolls do not hit, and P1 will win about 4.5 of these (30%) on the race alone. Can he win another 4 wins out of 15 by hitting P2 and then racing home. I don't think so. Pass.
D/P
2. Woolsey's law => double. At first glance, P2 has 3 checkers to escape from behind a broken prime, but 6s jump over and 2s and 3s step up into the escape hatch. Plus he has plenty of pips to move while waiting for these numbers. So the escape is less problematic than it first appears. If P1 gets closed out he's losing a lot of gammons here. Pass.
D/P
3. Three options: Make the 5pt, hit and slot the 5pt, hit and find a tamer 1 (probably 22/21). If hitting, I want to continue the bold theme and slot the 5pt. In a chouette I play 6/5 6/3* to induce doubles from the opposition. I expect that technically this double slot will either be right by a lot or wrong by a lot. So I'll follow Stick's excellent rule of thumb and just make the 5pt.
8/5 6/5
4. It would cost P1 an anchor to jump out (except 62), so P2 doesn't need to worry too much about holding him in. I just run from the back, noting that it dupes his 3s and 1s.
22/15
5. I can't see any reason for XG to take: outboarded, one man on the bar soon to have a friend, P1 has no problem escaping his runner, gammons abound. Definite pass. Could it be TG? In XG's position I wouldn't consider taking a redouble without an anchor, so until it has one I would play on as P1.
TG/P
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