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Rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 14 March 2011, at 8:26 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/13/11 (Stick)

Number 1

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 152 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 135 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=---bBBC-C---dC---cBd-b----:0:0:1:64:0:0:3:0:10
to play 64

1.	Rollout1	18/8	eq: +0.492
	Player: Opponent: 63.00% (G:9.96% B:0.40%) 37.00% (G:6.12% B:0.13%) Conf: ± 0.022 (+0.470...+0.514) Duration: 4 minutes 32 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/7 8/4	eq: +0.490 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 62.94% (G:13.03% B:0.34%) 37.06% (G:6.72% B:0.29%) Conf: ± 0.024 (+0.466...+0.514) Duration: 4 minutes 34 seconds
3.	Rollout1	8/2 6/2	eq: +0.480 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 63.10% (G:10.62% B:0.32%) 36.90% (G:6.42% B:0.26%) Conf: ± 0.024 (+0.456...+0.504) Duration: 4 minutes 20 seconds
1 540 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21140344 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

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Number 2

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 70 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 58 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-EDBB-------b-A--A--dcbbb-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	74.57% (G: 7.55% B: 0.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.43% (G: 0.11% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	75.05% (G: 10.43% B: 0.26%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	24.95% (G: 0.10% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.491
Double:	+1.214
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.567 (-0.433)
Double/Take:	+1.032 (+0.032)
Double/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21140344 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.006 (+0.561...+0.572)
Confidence Double:	± 0.010 (+1.021...+1.042)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 18.1 seconds

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Number 3

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 145 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 132 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=--aBB-C-BBB-d--a-bbe--A-A-:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
to play 53

1.	Rollout1	24/16	eq: +0.145
	Player: Opponent: 58.92% (G:21.95% B:0.73%) 41.08% (G:8.83% B:0.45%) Conf: ± 0.013 (+0.132...+0.158) Duration: 12 minutes 32 seconds
2.	Rollout1	10/2*	eq: +0.130 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 56.42% (G:27.59% B:0.55%) 43.58% (G:8.63% B:0.58%) Conf: ± 0.014 (+0.116...+0.144) Duration: 11 minutes 33 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21140344 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

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Number 4

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 124 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=a-ABB-C-BBA-d--a-bbe--A-A-:1:-1:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
to play 63

1.	Rollout1	24/21 8/2	eq: +0.815
	Player: Opponent: 73.71% (G:48.69% B:0.72%) 26.29% (G:4.01% B:0.22%) Conf: ± 0.012 (+0.803...+0.827) Duration: 7 minutes 12 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/15*	eq: +0.780 (-0.036)
	Player: Opponent: 73.40% (G:46.64% B:0.95%) 26.60% (G:4.93% B:0.27%) Conf: ± 0.011 (+0.769...+0.791) Duration: 9 minutes 06 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21140344 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

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Number 5

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 152 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 148 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--EBB-B-dB---c-d-Bb---:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10
to play 55

1.	Rollout1	21/11(2)	eq: +0.978
	Player: Opponent: 75.32% (G:10.65% B:0.30%) 24.68% (G:2.99% B:0.06%) Conf: ± 0.014 (+0.964...+0.992) Duration: 3 minutes 12 seconds
2.	Rollout1	10/5(2) 8/3*(2)	eq: +0.925 (-0.054)
	Player: Opponent: 69.61% (G:29.54% B:1.31%) 30.39% (G:5.72% B:0.23%) Conf: ± 0.018 (+0.907...+0.943) Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds
3.	Rollout2	8/3*(2) 6/1*(2)	eq: +0.897 (-0.081)
	Player: Opponent: 69.65% (G:39.34% B:0.81%) 30.35% (G:6.50% B:0.31%) Conf: ± 0.018 (+0.879...+0.915) Duration: 32.7 seconds
4.	Rollout2	21/16(2) 10/5(2)	eq: +0.883 (-0.095)
	Player: Opponent: 71.56% (G:16.19% B:0.54%) 28.44% (G:5.05% B:0.12%) Conf: ± 0.024 (+0.859...+0.907) Duration: 1 minute 28 seconds
1 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21140344 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21140344 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

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Number 6

	is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 119 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 164 score: 0 is Player 1
XGID=-----aD-E---cD---cabb-bAaA:1:1:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
to play 44

1.	XG Roller+	Bar/21 13/9 8/4(2)	eq: -0.498
	Player: Opponent: 31.99% (G:7.65% B:0.37%) 68.01% (G:31.48% B:1.18%)
2.	XG Roller+	Bar/21 8/4(3)	eq: -0.523 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 30.68% (G:7.39% B:0.34%) 69.32% (G:30.83% B:0.78%)
3.	XG Roller+	Bar/21 13/9 13/5*	eq: -0.537 (-0.038)
	Player: Opponent: 31.39% (G:6.71% B:0.30%) 68.61% (G:31.59% B:2.36%)
4.	XG Roller+	Bar/21 13/9(2) 8/4	eq: -0.547 (-0.049)
	Player: Opponent: 30.68% (G:7.04% B:0.33%) 69.32% (G:32.86% B:1.11%)

Messages In This Thread

• Daily Quiz 3/13/11
  Stick -- Sunday, 13 March 2011, at 5:02 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 3/13/11
    Lucas Bauer -- Sunday, 13 March 2011, at 6:37 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 3/13/11
    Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 13 March 2011, at 9:14 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 3/13/11
    Michael Depreli -- Sunday, 13 March 2011, at 10:00 a.m.
  • these are great !!
    LowRayTeeng -- Sunday, 13 March 2011, at 6:57 p.m.
    • these are great !!
      LowRayTeeng -- Sunday, 13 March 2011, at 7:04 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 3/13/11
    misja -- Sunday, 13 March 2011, at 8:38 p.m.
  • Rollouts
    Stick -- Monday, 14 March 2011, at 8:26 a.m.
    • Rollouts
      leobueno -- Monday, 14 March 2011, at 8:35 p.m.
      • Rollouts
        Stick -- Monday, 14 March 2011, at 8:41 p.m.
      • Rollouts
        Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 14 March 2011, at 8:45 p.m.