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Here's a 3 ply RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 15 March 2011, at 9:23 p.m.

In Response To: XGR+ RO In progress (neilkaz)

Close take vs. an even oppt, clearer take vs. a better oppt (that's the case here since I'm a dog vs. XGR+). We'll see if the XGR+ RO gives a different result.

is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 88
13 point match
pip: 40
score: 3

is Player 1
XGID=-I-Ba-------a--a---bcbabbA:1:-1:-1:00:3:8:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 84.83% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 15.17% (G: 1.76% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 85.49% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 14.51% (G: 1.90% B: 0.02%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.676
Redouble:+1.267
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.920 (-0.057)
Redouble/Take:+0.977
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.023)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.006 (+0.915...+0.926)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.010 (+0.967...+0.987)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 38.3 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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