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64P-33A-41S-22 and 64P-11N-41S-22

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 17 March 2011, at 3:00 a.m.

In Response To: Make the point or hit? (leobueno)


2O2X ' ' '4X '2X1X ' '5O

1X1X2O '2O3O '1O ' ' '4X

64P-33A-41S-22



2O2X ' ' '4X '2X1X ' '5O

1X1X ' '2O3O2O1O ' ' '4X

64P-11N-41S-22


(The left-hand position can also be fifth roll, replacing the first two plays with 53P-64P-31P.)

I'm familiar with the right-hand position (64P-11N-41S-22). There, hitting is a blunder. In the left-hand position (64P-33A-41S-22), though, Blue has a third point in his board, which makes a huge difference; I lean towards hitting, though I can certainly believe it's close (or worse).

If Blue makes the 4pt, I'm pretty sure that unstacking the midpoint with 13/11 (rather than 24/22) should be the fourth deuce in both positions.

Nack

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