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43Z-44**-FF-C

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Saturday, 19 March 2011, at 9:31 a.m.

In Response To: Borderline Take/Pass for money (Dmitriy Obukhov)

Sorry for wrong Nactation, but here is the position and rollout results:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 180
Money session
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ba--B-E-A---dE--Ac-e----A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 67,81% (G: 30,85% B: 2,32%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32,19% (G: 6,89% B: 0,35%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67,85% (G: 31,80% B: 2,49%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32,15% (G: 6,88% B: 0,39%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0,615
Double:+1,254
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0,859 (-0,132)
Double/Take:+0,992
Double/Drop:+1,000 (+0,008)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 1296
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Search interval: Large
Confidence No Double: ± 0,008 (+0,851...+0,867)
Confidence Double: ± 0,010 (+0,981...+1,002)
Double Decision confidence: 100,0%
Take Decision confidence: 94,4%
Duration: 18 hours 55 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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