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Daily Quiz 3/20/11

Posted By: Ian Shaw
Date: Monday, 21 March 2011, at 5:11 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/20/11 (Stick)

1. With a 20-pip deficit, White wins about 11% racing. Other wins most likely come after hitting a fly shot with an 8 or 10. Assuming he gets one fly shot at each point, he should hit about 7%. There are other hits, but hits don't always win. It looks like a solid Double/Pass. I'll estimate White wins about 19%.

2. Run the last man: 24/20.

3. Clear the 11 point. You lead in the race, and this is a dangerous point to have to clear, being 6 away from the enemy's anchor. It only provides a safe landing spot for 62 and 52, anyway.

4. A four-point board could be very handy. Make the 5 point, risking the fly shots. Advancing the rear man looks wrong.

5. This looks like a normal four-point holding game. Black has a decent structure and a little racing equity. White has 2 outside points to clear. Borderline double, and a take. Estimate Black's wins at 28%, with few gammons in the air.

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