[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

OTB thoughts and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 26 March 2011, at 7:04 p.m.

In Response To: Routine boring race cube..does AtS matter much here? (neilkaz)

OTB I knew that a 53-60 pip position is a bear $$ take for me if both sides are very efficient. However, here I felt it was a bear pass for money due to my extra two checkers costing me just a bit. In the match I'd have passed against a clearly weaker player, but my opps was fellow Giant Ed O'L and I was rather certain there was enough recube to make this a take. Here's a few RO's.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 60
11 point match
pip: 53
score: 4

is Player 1
XGID=----BCE------------ecca---:0:0:1:D:4:0:0:11:10
to play 11

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 78.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 21.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.565 +1.143
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.827 (-0.156)±0.001 (+0.826..+0.828)
Double/Take:+0.983±0.002 (+0.981..+0.984)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.017)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 01 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.156.alpha, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 60
11 point match
pip: 53
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=----BCE------------ecca---:0:0:1:D:0:0:0:11:10
to play 11

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.24% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 78.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 21.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.565 +1.137
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.836 (-0.164)±0.001 (+0.835..+0.838)
Double/Take:+1.012 (+0.012)±0.002 (+1.011..+1.014)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 30 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.156.alpha, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 60
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 53
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=----BCE------------fda----:1:1:1:D:0:0:3:0:10
to play 11

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 77.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 22.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.560 +1.117
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.854 (-0.141)±0.001 (+0.853..+0.855)
Redouble/Take:+0.995±0.002 (+0.993..+0.997)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.005)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 07 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.156.alpha

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.