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RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 3:13 a.m.

In Response To: AtS Attacking/Blocking cube (neilkaz)

OTB Ed cubed me and there wasn't a chance in the world that I'd pass AtS. With this being an obvious pass and with him leading only 6 to 0 I'd also have cubed, although not feeling strongly about it. It seems that Black has too much recube potential here. I am suprised to see that cubing is a Whopper, however.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 154
11 point match
pip: 142
score: 6

is Player 1
XGID=aa-BBBC-----cD---d-db---B-:0:0:1:D:6:0:0:11:10
to play 63

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.40% (G:34.66% B:2.46%) 69.43% (G:34.90% B:3.82%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.60% (G:7.39% B:0.32%) 30.57% (G:7.61% B:0.34%)
Cubeless Equities +0.662 +1.168
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.703±0.011 (+0.692..+0.714)
Double/Take:+0.570 (-0.133)±0.016 (+0.554..+0.587)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.297)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 23.6%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46746902
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 25 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.156.alpha, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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