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62 to play

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 7:02 p.m.

In Response To: 62 to play (Michael Nielsen)

The choice seems to be between 11/3 and 7/1* 3/1. (I can't believe that 23/15 is better than 11/3 at any score.) 11/3 is the natural move, especially when the score is effectively DMP. Still, we should try to picture how the game will evolve in either case. After 11/3, White needs just a single ace to anchor and then start trying to counterprime. After 7/1* 3/1, White needs two 3's to anchor (assuming we don't interfere by hitting), but if White does succeed in entering then her chances are clearly much better than with an ace-point anchor. The decision isn't obvious to me but given that I'm in doubt, I make the six-prime since I'm afraid that PoH could be a big error whereas the six-prime surely retains excellent winning chances.

Messages In This Thread

• 62 to play
  Michael Nielsen -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 4:46 p.m.
  • 62 to play
    Ian Shaw -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 5:28 p.m.
  • 62 to play
    Stein Kulseth -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 5:31 p.m.
  • 62 to play
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 7:02 p.m.
  • 62 to play
    Turz -- Tuesday, 29 March 2011, at 1:52 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Michael Nielsen -- Tuesday, 29 March 2011, at 2:36 p.m.
    • Rollout
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 29 March 2011, at 9:35 p.m.
      • Rollout
        Michael Nielsen -- Tuesday, 29 March 2011, at 10:34 p.m.