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OTB and RO's

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 28 March 2011, at 3:12 a.m.

In Response To: Ray vs Neil conso match endgame cube and play (neilkaz)

OTB Ray didn't double, a decision I agreed with since it is a trivial take AtS where I can take with about 15.8%.

Ray made the creative play of ripping two with his 41 and blotting on his ace pt. I didn't think this was quite right since he has to clean up that blot next roll, however it does give me a blotting 21 and costs me my 3 pt if I hit with 11.

	is Player 1 score: 2 pip: 41 7 point match pip: 46 score: 4 is Player 2
XGID=-DCB---------------bbcbbbA:1:-1:-1:D:2:4:0:7:10
to play 11

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	80.63% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)	80.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	19.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)	19.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.613	+1.082
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.828	±0.002 (+0.826..+0.829)
Redouble/Take:	+0.803 (-0.025)	±0.001 (+0.802..+0.805)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.172)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 11.1%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46746902 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 20 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.156.alpha, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

	is Player 1 score: 2 pip: 41 7 point match pip: 46 score: 4 is Player 2
XGID=-DCB---------------bbcbbbA:1:-1:-1:14:2:4:0:7:10
to play 14

1.	Rollout1	4/Off 1/Off	eq: +0.733
	Player: Opponent: 74.83% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.17% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.732...+0.735) - [100.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 39 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/5 6/2	eq: +0.717 (-0.016)
	Player: Opponent: 74.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 25.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.715...+0.719) - [0.0%] Duration: 1.9 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Rolled for both No double and Double Dice Seed: 46746902 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.156.alpha, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

	is Player 1 score: 2 pip: 43 7 point match pip: 46 score: 4 is Player 2
XGID=-CCC---------------bbcbbbA:1:-1:-1:14:2:4:0:7:10
to play 14

1.	Rollout1	6/5 6/2	eq: +0.730
	Player: Opponent: 75.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 24.35% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.728...+0.731) - [100.0%] Duration: 2.4 seconds
2.	Rollout1	4/Off 1/Off	eq: +0.715 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 73.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 26.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.714...+0.716) - [0.0%] Duration: 30 minutes 23 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Rolled for both No double and Double Dice Seed: 46746902 Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00.156.alpha, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Ray vs Neil conso match endgame cube and play
  neilkaz -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 2:49 a.m.
  • Ray vs Neil conso match endgame cube and play
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 3:53 a.m.
    • Ray vs Neil conso match endgame cube and play
      neilkaz -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 4:45 a.m.
      • Reposting because of "internal server error"
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 6:46 p.m.
    • Ray vs Neil conso match endgame cube and play
      Fender -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 8:12 a.m.
  • Ray vs Neil conso match endgame cube and play
    garyo -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 2:12 p.m.
  • Ray vs Neil conso match endgame cube and play
    Carter Mattig -- Sunday, 27 March 2011, at 2:32 p.m.
    • Ray vs Neil conso match endgame cube and play
      Rory -- Monday, 28 March 2011, at 9:15 a.m.
  • OTB and RO's
    neilkaz -- Monday, 28 March 2011, at 3:12 a.m.
    • OTB and RO's
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 29 March 2011, at 1:43 p.m.
      • OTB and RO's
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 30 March 2011, at 9:50 p.m.