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Easy 32 blundered

Posted By: mtuhtan
Date: Wednesday, 30 March 2011, at 7:55 p.m.

In Response To: Easy 32 blundered (mtuhtan)

I of course made a 6 prime, thinking that opponent cannot counter-prime me, but that seems to be big blunder.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 121
Money session
pip: 107
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aABBBBBA--Ab--b-bBc-bc---:1:-1:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout111/6eq: +0,671
Player:
Opponent:
78,86% (G:23,33% B:0,53%)
21,14% (G:6,12% B:0,26%)
Conf: ± 0,009 (+0,662...+0,680)
Duration: 7 minutes 32 seconds
2.Rollout111/9 8/5eq: +0,651 (-0,021)
Player:
Opponent:
77,55% (G:23,17% B:0,47%)
22,45% (G:5,00% B:0,21%)
Conf: ± 0,007 (+0,644...+0,658)
Duration: 7 minutes 06 seconds
3.Rollout218/16 11/8eq: +0,575 (-0,096)
Player:
Opponent:
75,57% (G:21,30% B:1,16%)
24,43% (G:7,45% B:0,63%)
Conf: ± 0,016 (+0,559...+0,591)
Duration: 6 minutes 39 seconds
4.XG Roller+8/3eq: +0,583 (-0,088)
Player:
Opponent:
75,22% (G:22,09% B:0,56%)
24,78% (G:5,97% B:0,27%)
5.XG Roller+8/6 5/2eq: +0,473 (-0,198)
Player:
Opponent:
70,99% (G:21,57% B:0,47%)
29,01% (G:6,23% B:0,26%)
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 45297676
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 45297676
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21



But when cube is not turned:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 121
Money session
pip: 107
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aABBBBBA--Ab--b-bBc-bc---:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout118/16 11/8eq: +0,871
Player:
Opponent:
76,01% (G:19,76% B:1,10%)
23,99% (G:7,19% B:0,64%)
Conf: ± 0,019 (+0,852...+0,890)
Duration: 6 minutes 52 seconds
2.Rollout111/6eq: +0,823 (-0,048)
Player:
Opponent:
77,90% (G:22,36% B:0,47%)
22,10% (G:6,05% B:0,26%)
Conf: ± 0,012 (+0,811...+0,835)
Duration: 6 minutes 24 seconds
3.Rollout111/9 8/5eq: +0,816 (-0,056)
Player:
Opponent:
75,73% (G:20,99% B:0,43%)
24,27% (G:5,46% B:0,25%)
Conf: ± 0,007 (+0,809...+0,823)
Duration: 2 minutes 36 seconds
4.Rollout18/3eq: +0,796 (-0,075)
Player:
Opponent:
73,80% (G:20,41% B:0,43%)
26,20% (G:6,59% B:0,27%)
Conf: ± 0,008 (+0,788...+0,804)
Duration: 2 minutes 11 seconds
5.XG Roller+11/8 4/2eq: +0,669 (-0,202)
Player:
Opponent:
67,02% (G:18,39% B:0,46%)
32,98% (G:6,32% B:0,24%)
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 45297676
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21



Even if I thought I could be counter-primed in this position I would probably still make my 6 prime. :/

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