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Daily Quiz 3/30/11

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 30 March 2011, at 9:24 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/30/11 (Stick)

1) How often does white manage to slip by black? By my count 13 rolls leap immediately, and most of the others give black only about a 1/3rd chance (or less) of hitting. Nothing gives black a cash. That seems to add up to enough to double. I think black has to take with his board and chance to hit. D/T

2) Make the 10 point, the 3 point, or hit? I'll hit because of the blot on the 20. Take away half black's roll so I get another shot at the blot.

3) If White doesn't roll a 4 soon it's crunch time. I'd hold. Black has enough of a blockade to take. ND/T

4) Another back game, but this one is a weak 5-1 structure and black's timing is poor: he'll likely be abandoning the 5 point before long. I'd double here - not sure about the take decision. I'd pass, but wouldn't be surprised if it's a take.

5) Gammon losses? 22.37% (I figure if I'm pulling it out of my posterior, I might as well be precise.)

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